Our information to each Week 13 NFL sport: Matchup previews, predictions, picks and nuggets

The Week 13 NFL schedule for the 2024 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we have got you lined with what it’s essential know heading into the weekend.

Our NFL Nation reporters deliver us the largest keys to each sport, and analytics author Seth Walder makes a daring prediction for every matchup. The ESPN Analysis workforce offers an enormous stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, whereas our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a sport projection. Fantasy analyst Eric Moody finds fantasy soccer X elements, and three analysts — Kalyn Kahler, Moody and Walder — give us remaining rating picks for each sport. Every thing you need to know is right here in a single spot that will help you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.

Let’s get into the complete, post-Thanksgiving Week 13 slate, together with a battle of the most effective operating backs — the Eagles’ Saquon Barkley versus the Ravens’ Derrick Henry — and the 49ers’ go to to Buffalo. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night time Soccer” matchup between the Browns and the Broncos on ESPN. (Sport instances are Sunday except in any other case famous.)

Leap to a matchup:
LAC-ATL | PIT-CIN
ARI-MIN | IND-NE | SEA-NYJ
TEN-WSH | HOU-JAX | LAR-NO
TB-CAR | PHI-BAL | SF-BUF | CLE-DEN

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: LAC -2.5 (48.5 O/U)

Chargers storyline to observe: The Chargers and quarterback Justin Herbert have struggled within the second half of video games. He has the third-best QBR (74.7) within the first half this season, in contrast with twenty ninth within the second (35.6). Los Angeles is averaging 8.4 factors per sport within the second half, which ranks thirtieth within the NFL. It scored solely 10 factors within the second half of the Monday night time loss to the Ravens. — Kris Rhim

Falcons storyline to observe: Earlier than Weeks 10 and 11, Kirk Cousins had by no means had two consecutive video games with no landing cross since turning into an NFL beginning quarterback 11 years in the past. It will not get simpler for him. The Chargers have allowed the eighth-fewest landing passes this season (14) and the ninth-lowest cross EPA (minus-34.6). — Marc Raimondi

Stat to know: The Falcons have 10 sacks this season, their fewest via 11 video games in historical past and the fewest by any workforce via 11 video games for the reason that 2018 Raiders.

Daring prediction: Chargers linebacker Daiyan Henley will file 10-plus mixed tackles. Henley has performed 100% of defensive snaps, and the Falcons rank twenty ninth in cross charge over expectation, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. — Walder

Accidents: Chargers | Falcons

Fantasy X issue: Chargers huge receiver Ladd McConkey. He has scored 10 or extra fantasy factors in 4 of his previous 5 video games, together with two contests with 18 or extra factors. The Falcons’ protection has allowed the fourth-most fantasy factors per sport to huge receivers. Atlanta has additionally struggled towards slot receivers this season, giving McConkey an excellent greater ceiling. See Week 13 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Falcons are 7-15 ATS of their previous 22 video games when the road is between plus-3 and minus-3. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Chargers 28, Falcons 21
Moody’s decide: Chargers 23, Falcons 21
Walder’s decide: Chargers 23, Falcons 17
FPI prediction: LAC, 51.2% (by a mean of 0.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Falcons’ cross rush threatens promising season

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Bijan Robinson’s Week 13 fantasy outlook

Check out some stats behind Bijan Robinson seeking to bounce again in fantasy vs. the Chargers.

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: CIN -3 (48.5 O/U)

Steelers storyline to observe: The Steelers’ offense ranks thirtieth in crimson zone scoring share (44.7%), whereas the Bengals crimson zone protection is among the many worst within the league, permitting opponents to attain touchdowns on practically 71% of journeys. Earlier than scoring two fourth-quarter touchdowns towards the Browns, Pittsburgh went seven quarters with no landing. Recognizing their shortcomings, the Steelers are emphasizing crimson zone offense — together with short-yardage conditions — in observe forward of going through a protection that has struggled in these areas. — Brooke Pryor

Bengals storyline to observe: Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow’s career-best season shall be examined by top-of-the-line cross defenses within the league. Pittsburgh leads the league in opposing QBR (51.2) due to its zone protection. Utilizing primarily a Cowl 3 look, the Steelers are second in zone QBR and have 10 interceptions in zone protection, per ESPN Analysis. The Bengals’ offense ranks fourth in zone QBR (78.4). — Ben Child

Stat to know: Burrow has three straight video games with three or extra passing touchdowns. That is tied for the longest streak of his profession and the longest by a Bengals quarterback since 1970.

Daring prediction: Steelers huge receiver George Pickens will bounce again with a 100-yard sport. Pickens has been nice this season, with a 79 open rating, tenth finest within the NFL. — Walder

Accidents: Steelers | Bengals

Fantasy X issue: Steelers operating again Jaylen Warren. He has had 14 or extra touches and scored eleven-plus fantasy factors in two of the previous three video games. Over that stretch, he was extra environment friendly than Najee Harris, averaging a formidable 7.1 yards per contact. The Bengals’ protection? It has allowed 100-plus dashing yards or a dashing landing in each sport this season. See Week 13 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Overs are 6-0 when the Bengals face groups with profitable information this season. The Bengals are 0-6 outright (2-4 ATS) in these video games. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Bengals 24, Steelers 22
Moody’s decide: Bengals 21, Steelers 17
Walder’s decide: Bengals 27, Steelers 24
FPI prediction: CIN, 51.0% (by a mean of 0.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Steelers nonetheless inconsistent about how they’re deploying Fields … Bengals deliver again desk tennis stations after bye week

1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: MIN -3.5 (45.5 O/U)

Cardinals storyline to observe: The Cardinals are coming off a deflating loss to Seattle solely to seek out themselves going through the most effective protection within the NFL. Kyler Murray has talked all season about his development as a quarterback and having a greater understanding of what defenses try to do to sluggish him down. There is no higher time than Sunday for Murray to indicate how sensible he’s within the pocket. A loss might ship Arizona additional down the NFC West standings, however a win would hold it close to the highest. — Josh Weinfuss

Vikings storyline to observe: The Vikings haven’t misplaced to the Cardinals at house since 1977 and have gained 11 consecutive video games towards them in Minnesota, together with the postseason. As they give the impression of being to increase that streak, their largest problem is containing Murray, who ranks fourth within the NFL in dashing yards by a quarterback (380). The Vikings’ protection allowed 33 dashing yards final week to the Bears’ Caleb Williams, but it surely ranks first within the NFL over the season within the fewest dashing yards (95) and the bottom common yards per rush (2.6) by quarterbacks. — Kevin Seifert

Stat to know: Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold has 14 turnovers this season, tied with Gardner Minshew for probably the most by any participant within the NFL.

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Stephen A. makes Mad Canine snort with response to Vikings signing Daniel Jones

Stephen A. Smith reacts to the Vikings signing Daniel Jones to again up Sam Darnold.

Daring prediction: Cardinals tight finish Trey McBride will catch a landing cross. It is lastly going to occur! I actually imply it! McBride has been wonderful all season, averaging 2.5 yards per route run (second amongst tight ends) and simply hasn’t discovered the top zone but. However he’ll. — Walder

Accidents: Cardinals | Vikings

Fantasy X issue: Cardinals huge receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. He is averaging solely 6.0 targets and 11.3 fantasy factors per sport this season. Managers had WR1 hopes for him, however he is trying extra like a flex choice proper now. The excellent news? He faces a Vikings protection that provides up the second-most fantasy factors per sport to huge receivers. See Week 13 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Vikings have lined seven straight conferences. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Vikings 28, Cardinals 24
Moody’s decide: Vikings 24, Cardinals 16
Walder’s decide: Cardinals 24, Vikings 23
FPI prediction: MIN, 58.5% (by a mean of three.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Cardinals stay playoff hopeful regardless of pricey Seahawks loss … Vikings’ Sam Darnold delivers signature second with OT win

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: IND -2.5 (42.5 O/U)

Colts storyline to observe: Colts operating again Jonathan Taylor has seen his manufacturing fall dramatically in current weeks. The 2021 NFL dashing chief loved a stretch of 4 100-yard dashing performances in a span of six weeks earlier within the season. However he has struggled to get going prior to now two video games, averaging 46 yards and a couple of.6 yards per rush. A lot of the problem traces again to an undermanned offensive line, which the Colts have been unable to mitigate. Stated offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter: “Working the soccer, it is a workforce or an offensive unit kind of factor. It is all 11 of us.” — Stephen Holder

Patriots storyline to observe: Rookie quarterback Drake Maye’s 10 landing passes have gone to 10 completely different receivers, which ties the Broncos’ Steve Ramsey (1971-73) for probably the most consecutive touchdowns to a special receiver to start out a profession. However each the Patriots and Colts shall be seeking to clear up penalties; New England was flagged 13 instances in final week’s loss to the Dolphins, whereas Indianapolis was flagged 12 instances in its loss to the Lions. Colts coach Shane Steichen and Patriots coach Jerod Mayo each mentioned the identical factor — the excessive penalty whole begins with them. — Mike Reiss

Stat to know: Maye has thrown an interception in 4 straight video games, the longest such streak amongst 2024 rookies.

Daring prediction: Colts cornerback Samuel Womack III won’t enable a single reception. He has continued to place up robust numbers and opponents are focusing on him simply 12% of the time, seventh lowest amongst exterior corners with at the least 200 protection snaps, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. — Walder

Accidents: Colts | Patriots

Fantasy X issue: Colts huge receiver Michael Pittman Jr. He is coming off considered one of his finest video games this season (15.6 fantasy factors towards the Lions). Now, he takes on a Patriots protection that provides up the sixth-most receiving yards to huge receivers. With Josh Downs week-to-week as a consequence of a shoulder damage, Pittman ought to see a heavy goal share. See Week 13 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Patriots are an NFL-worst 3-9 ATS within the first half. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Colts 19, Patriots 16
Moody’s decide: Patriots 22, Colts 20
Walder’s decide: Colts 17, Patriots 16
FPI prediction: IND, 61.4% (by a mean of 4.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Colts in acquainted place with lengthy odds for playoffs … Patriots’ Peppers faraway from commissioner exempt listing

1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: SEA -2 (42.5 O/U)

Seahawks storyline to observe: Geno Smith returns to MetLife Stadium to face the workforce that drafted him, however his star-crossed historical past with the Jets will not be as vital as his current scenario with the Seahawks. He has had a stable season underneath powerful circumstances, rating second within the NFL in passing yards (3,035) however main in interceptions (12). He’s carrying an offense with no run sport and a below-average offensive line. All that would add a layer of complexity to contract negotiations if and when the 2 sides focus on a brand new deal this offseason, one thing Smith wished this previous summer season. — Brady Henderson

Jets storyline to observe: A wholesome and rested quarterback Aaron Rodgers, coming off a bye week, begins what could possibly be the ultimate homestretch of his profession. Rodgers, who mentioned he is undecided on whether or not he’ll play in 2025, hopes to complete his disappointing season on the upswing. One optimistic is that he has gone 139 consecutive cross makes an attempt with out an interception, masking four-plus video games. — Wealthy Cimini

Stat to know: Final week, Smith was sacked 5 instances for the third sport this season. Solely Deshaun Watson (4) and Will Levis (5) have extra such video games.

Daring prediction: Jets cornerback D.J. Reed won’t enable greater than 25 receiving yards as the closest defender. Although cornerback Sauce Gardner hasn’t been at his standard stage this season, Reed has nonetheless been stable, permitting a better-than-average 1.0 yards per protection snap, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. The Seattle receivers current a problem, however I believe Reed is able to a robust sport towards them. — Walder

Accidents: Seahawks | Jets

Fantasy X issue: Jets huge receiver Garrett Wilson. Wilson has been quiet these days, with simply 14 whole targets and 14.9 whole fantasy factors over the previous two video games. However he is in an incredible spot to bounce again after the bye. The Seahawks’ protection has allowed probably the most fantasy factors to huge receivers over the previous month, giving Wilson a golden alternative to shine. See Week 13 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS of their previous six as a favourite. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Seahawks 24, Jets 17
Moody’s decide: Seahawks 23, Jets 20
Walder’s decide: Seahawks 20, Jets 17
FPI prediction: NYJ, 53.6% (by a mean of 1.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Jets’ Jeff Ulbrich: Rodgers will ‘completely’ begin vs. Seahawks

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Rodgers to McAfee: I used to be saddened, not totally shocked by Joe Douglas firing

On “The Pat McAfee Present,” Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers voices his emotions concerning the firing of Joe Douglas.

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: WSH -5.5 (44.5 O/U)

Titans storyline to observe: Titans quarterback Will Levis has a 68% completion share with 748 passing yards and 5 landing passes over the previous three video games. The second-year quarterback has additionally rediscovered his big-play potential, with eight explosive cross performs (at the least 20 yards) over that span. He’ll look to keep up his regular enchancment this week towards Washington’s cross protection, which has allowed 189.1 passing yards per sport (fourth finest). — Turron Davenport

Commanders storyline to observe: The Commanders’ offense has sputtered the previous two weeks regardless of a wild end towards Dallas (they averaged 3.9 yards per play till late within the sport). Throughout their three-game dropping streak, they averaged 99.3 yards dashing and 4.0 yards per carry; Washington averaged 163.9 yards dashing per sport and 5.0 yards per carry in going 7-2. In the meantime, Tennessee has allowed simply 3.0 yards per rush in its previous three video games (and 4.0 for the season). Possibly Washington can assault via the air, because the Titans have allowed 7.9 yards per cross try since Week 10. — John Keim

Stat to know: Titans huge receiver Calvin Ridley is third within the NFL with 451 receiving yards since Week 8. He is behind Courtland Sutton (467) and Puka Nacua (455).

Daring prediction: Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels will rebound with a 70-plus QBR sport. He was simply too good early within the season for me to disregard it, and the Titans’ protection is simply OK. Tennessee ranks in the course of the highway in EPA allowed per dropback this yr and is beneath common since Week 7. — Walder

Accidents: Titans | Commanders

Fantasy X issue: Titans operating again Tony Pollard. He is on tempo for his third straight 1,000-yard dashing season and has been excellent for Tennessee, particularly since its bye week. He has logged 18 or extra touches in 5 of his previous seven video games, scoring 10-plus fantasy factors in 5 of them, together with three video games with 18 or extra factors. The Commanders’ protection has allowed 22.2 fantasy factors per sport to operating backs this season, giving Pollard a excessive flooring and powerful potential for an additional large day. See Week 13 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Titans are a league-worst 2-9 ATS. Final week’s win snapped a six-game ATS dropping streak. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Commanders, 30, Titans 21
Moody’s decide: Commanders 28, Titans 20
Walder’s decide: Commanders 28, Titans 19
FPI prediction: WSH, 66.3% (by a mean of 6.2 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Commanders put Seibert on IR after missed kicks … Contained in the Commanders-Cowboys wild fourth quarter

1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: HOU -5 (43.5 O/U)

Texans storyline to observe: The Texans have gained 11 out of their previous 13 video games towards the Jaguars. They defeated Jacksonville 24-20 in Week 4, with quarterback C.J. Stroud throwing for 345 yards with two touchdowns. In his three profession video games towards the Jaguars, Stroud has thrown for 929 yards and 6 touchdowns with no interceptions. — DJ Bien-Aime

Jaguars storyline to observe: The Jaguars have scored fewer than 10 factors in back-to-back video games with backup quarterback Mac Jones, however there are encouraging indicators that time to Trevor Lawrence (left shoulder) returning towards the Texans. That ought to energize the offense and assist the Jaguars keep away from a doubtful piece of franchise historical past: Failing to attain double-digit factors in three consecutive video games. — Mike DiRocco

Stat to know: The Jaguars are 1-6 in one-score video games (eight factors or fewer), which is tied with the Bengals for probably the most such losses within the NFL.

Daring prediction: Texans edge rushers Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter will once more mix for at the least 3.0 sacks. Final week, they mixed for five.0 sacks and Hunter completed second in cross rush win charge (31.6%) at edge. — Walder

Accidents: Texans | Jaguars

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DeMeco Ryans matches Marvel Tremendous Heroes to Texans gamers

Bessemer, Alabama, is dubbed Marvel Metropolis and native son DeMeco Ryans earned the nickname “Cap” as a participant. Enjoying a sport of title affiliation, the Texans coach identifies Tremendous Heroes who remind him of his gamers.

Fantasy X issue: Texans huge receiver Tank Dell. He had seven or extra targets and scored 10 or extra fantasy factors in three of his previous 4 video games. Dell has a improbable matchup towards a Jaguars protection that provides up the third-most fantasy factors per sport to huge receivers. Nico Collins ought to draw loads of defensive consideration, which might open issues up much more for Dell. See Week 13 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS of their previous 5 video games and 3-0 ATS of their previous three house video games. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Texans 28, Jaguars 20
Moody’s decide: Texans 27, Jaguars 24
Walder’s decide: Texans 30, Jaguars 13
FPI prediction: HOU, 64.4% (by a mean of 5.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Stroud after Texans’ newest loss: Not taking part in as much as customary … Jaguars’ offense nonetheless in search of solutions amid 17-game skid

4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: LAR -2.5 (49.5 O/U)

Rams storyline to observe: By means of 12 weeks, Rams exterior linebacker Jared Verse leads the rookie class with 51 pressures. In accordance with NFL Subsequent Gen Stats, he has taken 66.3% of his snaps from the appropriate edge, which tasks a matchup towards the Saints’ Taliese Fuaga. The Saints left sort out is having the alternative begin to Verse, with the bottom strain charge allowed by any rookie this season (7.4%). — Sarah Barshop

Saints storyline to observe: The Saints are getting wholesome once more after their bye — defensive finish Tanoh Kpassagnon returned to observe for the primary time this season after tearing his Achilles within the offseason. The most important well being query now could be middle Erik McCoy, who left their final sport with a groin damage after taking part in for the primary time since surgical procedure in September. Saints coach Darren Rizzi mentioned McCoy is taken into account day-by-day to play at this level. — Katherine Terrell

Stat to know: The Rams’ Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua are the one huge receiver teammates to have 400 receiving yards every sport since Week 8, after they each returned to the lineup after accidents.

Daring prediction: Saints cornerback Alontae Taylor will enable greater than 100 receiving yards as the closest defender. He’s permitting a large 2.1 yards per protection snap, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats, and he’ll possible battle towards the Rams’ high receivers. — Walder

Accidents: Rams | Saints

Fantasy X issue: The Saints have been relying closely on operating again Alvin Kamara, who’s averaging 21.6 touches and 111.4 whole yards per sport. Kamara is ready up for an additional busy day towards the Rams. Los Angeles has struggled towards operating backs, permitting the fifth-most dashing yards and Eleventh-most receiving yards per sport. See Week 13 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Rams are 5-1 ATS as highway favorites since 2022. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Saints 21, Rams 18
Moody’s decide: Saints 24, Rams 20
Walder’s decide: Rams 24, Saints 16
FPI prediction: NO, 51.6% (by a mean of 0.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Rams aren’t taking part in like a high contender within the NFC … Saints’ Hill has milestone day with 230 all-purpose yards

4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: TB -5.5 (46.5 O/U)

Buccaneers storyline to observe: The Bucs snapped a four-game dropping streak with a post-bye-week win over the Giants to achieve floor of their playoff push. Large receiver Mike Evans’ and cornerback Jamel Dean’s returns have been impactful, as was the presence of security Mike Edwards. And naturally, quarterback Baker Mayfield continues to have presumably the most effective season of his profession. However their largest benefit Sunday would be the floor sport. The Panthers’ protection permits a league-worst 160.6 dashing yards per sport, whereas the Bucs’ 128.1 dashing yards per sport is tenth within the league after they ranked final in 2023. — Jenna Laine

Panthers storyline to observe: Quarterback Bryce Younger is coming off his finest sport and a three-game streak of stable play the place the Panthers are 2-1. The protection is enhancing, gathering a season-high 5 sacks towards the Chiefs on Sunday. Nevertheless, Carolina nonetheless struggles to maintain groups out of the top zone, permitting an NFL-worst 30.9 factors a sport. And the Buccaneers may be explosive, as they rank seventh in passing yards per sport (241.5). Carolina’s secondary stays weak. — David Newton

Stat to know: In opposition to the Giants, the Buccaneers had 4 gamers rating a dashing landing for the primary time in franchise historical past.

Daring prediction: The Panthers will file their highest cross block win charge of the season. After profitable a season-high 61.5% of cross blocks final week, I believe they will set a greater mark towards a Buccaneers workforce that does not scare you an excessive amount of with its cross rush. — Walder

Accidents: Buccaneers | Panthers

Fantasy X issue: Buccaneers tight finish Cade Otton. Tampa Bay’s operating sport led the way in which in its Week 12 win, however Otton ought to keep closely concerned within the passing sport behind Evans. Earlier than their Week 11 bye, Otton scored 18 or extra fantasy factors in three of his previous 4 video games. Now, he will get a Panthers protection permitting probably the most fantasy factors per sport to tight ends. See Week 13 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Panthers have lined three straight house video games. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Buccaneers 35, Panthers 28
Moody’s decide: Buccaneers 31, Panthers 20
Walder’s decide: Buccaneers 27, Panthers 20
FPI prediction: TB, 68.7% (by a mean of seven.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Bucs got here again ‘mentally harder,’ ‘able to play’ after bye … Panthers coach: Younger will ‘completely’ begin vs. Bucs

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Ought to fantasy managers stash the Buccaneers’ protection for the playoffs?

Subject Yates explains why the Buccaneers’ protection could possibly be a superb streaming choice going ahead.

4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: BAL -3 (51.5 O/U)

Eagles storyline to observe: Working again Saquon Barkley has been on a tear. He is coming off a career-best efficiency wherein he set single-game profession highs in dashing yards (255) and yards from scrimmage (302) towards the Rams. With the efficiency, Barkley (1,392 dashing yards) took the lead over Derrick Henry (1,325) within the race for the dashing crown. This shall be a smash-mouth matchup that includes the highest two floor video games within the NFL. — Tim McManus

Ravens storyline to observe: Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson has a 23-1 file towards NFC opponents, which is the most effective by any quarterback in interconference video games for the reason that 1970 merger (minimal 15 begins). However he’s going through maybe his largest problem with the Eagles, who’ve gained seven straight video games. Throughout its win streak, Philadelphia has held quarterbacks to 140.2 passing yards per sport and 5.4 yards per cross try, each of that are the fewest within the NFL over that span. — Jamison Hensley

Stat to know: This shall be simply the second occasion since 1970 of two groups assembly in Week 13 or later who’re averaging 180 dashing yards per sport.

Daring prediction: The Eagles will maintain Jackson to a QBR of underneath 55. Even when cornerback Darius Slay Jr. (concussion) is not in a position to play, Quinyon Mitchell and Cooper DeJean ought to be capable of hamper receivers Rashod Bateman and Zay Flowers. — Walder

Accidents: Eagles | Ravens

Fantasy X issue: Eagles tight finish Dallas Goedert completed with solely 5.9 fantasy factors final week, because the Eagles did not must cross due to Barkley’s 46.2-point efficiency. That ought to change towards the Ravens in a high-scoring matchup. Baltimore’s protection permits the fourth-most receiving yards per sport to tight ends. See Week 13 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Ravens overs are 10-2, the best over share within the NFL. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Eagles 30, Ravens 28
Moody’s decide: Eagles 27, Ravens 26
Walder’s decide: Eagles 28, Ravens 24
FPI prediction: BAL, 58.4% (by a mean of two.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Barkley runs for Eagles-record 255 yards in win vs. Rams … Ravens topple Chargers in Harbaugh brothers reunion

8:20 p.m. ET | NBC/Peacock | ESPN BET: BUF -7 (44.5 O/U)

49ers storyline to observe: The 49ers have not misplaced three video games in a row all season, however they enter this one in peril of doing simply that and primarily placing any postseason hopes to relaxation. The Payments can clinch the AFC East with a win, they usually’ve gained all 5 house video games this season whereas scoring 30-plus factors in every contest. San Francisco continues to be banged up and shall be touring throughout the nation after one other prolonged flight to Inexperienced Bay final week, making this maybe its most troublesome problem. — Nick Wagoner

Payments storyline to observe: Payments quarterback Josh Allen — a Firebaugh, California, native — will play the workforce he grew up cheering for. He may have an opportunity to proceed to enhance his candidacy for MVP in prime time towards a 49ers protection that has pressured just one turnover prior to now three video games and is tied for twentieth in factors allowed per sport (23.6). — Alaina Getzenberg

Stat to know: The 49ers had 18 penalties of their previous two video games (each losses), which is tied for his or her most penalties in a two-game span over the previous 5 seasons.

Daring prediction: The Payments will maintain operating again Christian McCaffrey to fewer than 4 receptions. No workforce permits a decrease share of targets (25%) to opposing operating backs than the Payments. — Walder

Accidents: 49ers | Payments

Fantasy X issue: Payments operating again James Cook dinner. Buffalo ought to rely closely on its offensive line and operating sport as a consequence of probably snowy climate, which bodes properly for Cook dinner. He scored 15 or extra fantasy factors in three of their previous 4 video games and had 15 or extra touches in three of these matchups. See Week 13 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: That is the second straight sport the 49ers have been underdogs after being favored in 36 straight regular-season video games. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Payments 34, 49ers 21
Moody’s decide: Payments 30, 49ers 23
Walder’s decide: Payments 27, 49ers 26
FPI prediction: BUF, 61.3% (by a mean of 4.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: The 49ers’ highway to the playoffs is murky: Is Sunday a must-win? … Payments’ quest for AFC East crown, No. 1 seed continues

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | ESPN BET: DEN -5.5 (41.5 O/U)

Browns storyline to observe: Large receiver Jerry Jeudy returns to face the Broncos, who drafted him No. 15 general within the 2020 draft, for the primary time since Denver traded him to Cleveland in March after 4 inconsistent seasons. It was a commerce Jeudy informed ESPN he desired, and he has flourished over the previous month, rating tenth in receiving yards (379) since Week 8. Nevertheless, Jeudy has a tricky take a look at towards Broncos cornerback Pat Surtain II, who has allowed 182 yards as the closest defender, the second-fewest amongst cornerbacks with at the least 200 protection snaps. — Daniel Oyefusi

Broncos storyline to observe: Broncos coach Sean Payton must scheme to guard rookie quarterback Bo Nix. Browns defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz is 18-7-1 towards rookie QBs as a coordinator or head coach. His protection is fifth within the league in dropbacks that lead to sacks at 8.8%. Payton has tried to up the tempo to halt opposing rushers, however he may need to run the ball extra to offer the Cleveland defensive entrance a cause to decelerate on its method to the quarterback. Within the win over Las Vegas final week, when the Raiders blitzed greater than Payton anticipated, the Broncos ran simply 16 instances. — Jeff Legwold

Stat to know: The Browns have an NFL-worst 27% third-down conversion charge, which is their worst via 11 video games since 1999 (25%).

Daring prediction: The Broncos will sack Jameis Winston six or extra instances. Winston’s 7% sack charge is not too unhealthy, however the Broncos have the third-best cross rush win charge (47.6%) within the NFL, with defensive finish Zach Allen main the way in which. — Walder

Accidents: Browns | Broncos

Fantasy X issue: Nix. The rookie is shining underneath coach Payton’s steering, and it exhibits. Nix has scored 19 or extra fantasy factors in 5 of his previous eight video games, together with two video games with greater than 28 factors. This week, he faces a Browns protection that has given up the Twelfth-most fantasy factors per sport to quarterbacks. That is nice information for Nix and his high goal, Courtland Sutton. See Week 13 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Browns are 2-7 ATS of their previous 9 “Monday Night time Soccer” video games (1-3 ATS underneath coach Kevin Stefanski). Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Broncos 28, Browns 24
Moody’s decide: Broncos 21, Browns 16
Walder’s decide: Broncos 23, Browns 17
FPI prediction: DEN, 51.8% (by a mean of 0.7 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Breaking down the 2024 Browns roster … Sutton, Nix rising collectively for surging Broncos

Friday’s matchup

Friday, 3 p.m. ET | Prime Video | ESPN BET: KC -12 (42.5 O/U)

Raiders storyline to observe: Quarterback Aidan O’Connell, coming off injured reserve after struggling a damaged thumb on his throwing (proper) hand in Week 7, will begin towards the Chiefs. “It is felt fairly good the previous few days throwing … to have the ability to go on the market and grip the soccer and throw slightly bit has been superior,” he mentioned Tuesday. O’Connell is the final quarterback to beat the Chiefs in Kansas Metropolis, despite the fact that he did not full a cross after the primary quarter of that 2023 Christmas Day sport. — Paul Gutierrez

Chiefs storyline to observe: The Chiefs have faltered defensively after a robust begin this season. Since Week 8, they rank final in opponent QBR (81.6) and stopping third-down conversions (58.6%). Are the Raiders robust sufficient offensively to take benefit with out beginning quarterback Gardner Minshew, who’s out with a damaged collarbone? The final time the Raiders misplaced by just one rating was a 27-20 sport towards the Chiefs in Week 8. — Adam Teicher

Stat to know: The Chiefs have a 58% likelihood to be the highest seed within the AFC, per ESPN Analytics. Their probabilities would enhance to 64% with a win and fall to 38% with a loss.

Daring prediction: Raiders tight finish Brock Bowers will file 100-plus receiving yards. Bowers is within the combine for the Offensive Rookie of the Yr award, and 21% of Kansas Metropolis opponents’ targets go to tight ends, the third-highest charge within the league. — Walder

Accidents: Raiders | Chiefs

Fantasy X issue: Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. He scored 28.7 fantasy factors towards the Panthers final week, his finest efficiency of the season. He put up 18.1 fantasy factors the final time he confronted Las Vegas on the highway. At house, he has averaged 22.8 fantasy factors per sport towards the Raiders as a starter. See Week 13 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Chiefs are 0-5 towards the unfold of their previous 5 video games, tied for his or her longest ATS dropping streak within the coach Andy Reid period. Learn extra.

Kahler’s decide: Chiefs 24, Raiders 17
Moody’s decide: Chiefs 34, Raiders 13
Walder’s decide: Chiefs 23, Raiders 20
FPI prediction: KC, 76.3% (by a mean of 11.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: What are the Raiders’ probabilities on the No. 1 draft decide? … Chiefs need to hold issues easy for brand new LT Humphries